Missouri River Region Mountain Snowpack Report

2011-2012 Mountain Snowpack Report for Missouri River Basin

 

Winter of 2011-2012.  The February 1 forecasted runoff for calendar year 2012 is 25.6 MAF.  This runoff would be 103% of normal runoff.  As of February 1, 2012, the mountain snowpack in the reach above Fort Peck is 87% of the average snowpack for this date.  Mountain snowpack in the reach between Fort Peck and Garrison is 96% of the average snowpack for this date.  The snowpack for the North Platte River Basin is currently 71% of average and the snowpack for the South Platte River Basin is 78% of average.  Missouri River Basin mountain snowpack normally peaks near April 15.

The following tabulation is a summary of this year's mountain snowpack accumulations and the CY 2012 runoff forecast for the first of each month.

CY 2012 Mountain Snowpack Accumulations in Percent of Normal Peak

Drainage Basin

 Jan

 Feb

 Mar

 Apr

 May

 Jun

Jul

Aug

 Above Fort Peck Dam

79%

87%

 -

-

-

-

-

-

 Fort Peck to Garrison

96%

96%

 -

 -

 -

 -

 -

-

 Percent of Normal Total Acc.

88%

91%

 -

 -

 -

 -

 -

-

 North Platte River

75%

71%

 -

 -

 -

 -

 -

-

 South Platte River

86%

 78%

 -

 -

 -

 -

 -

-

 

Forecasted CY 2012 Missouri River Basin Annual Runoff in MAF

 Location

 Jan

 Feb

 Mar

 Apr

 May

 Jun

 Jul

Aug

 Above Sioux City, Iowa.

26.5

 25.6

 -

 -

-

-

-

-

Percent of Normal 24.8 MAF

107%

103%

 -

 -

-

-

-

-

SNOTEL Mountain snowpack station data is provided by the National Resource Conservation Service. Normally by April 15, 100% of the peak accumulation has occurred.

The table above labeled CY 2012 Mountain Snowpack, gives information in percent of average for the two significant snowpack accumulation reaches of Fort Peck and Fort Peck to Garrison. The snow melts during the May through July timeframe and provides significant main stem inflow which is stored to prevent downstream flooding and later used to meet main stem authorized project purposes. Even knowing the amount of snow at the first of each month for selected mountain snowpack areas results in considerable runoff variability because the weather conditions during the melt period greatly influences the runoff yield. The total percent of normal accumulation are shown for the first of each month through May. For the period of May through July the percentages shown are a percent of the peak accumulation for the year to indicate the remaining snow to melt in the mountains.